After an excellent showing during the Six Nations, beating all teams on their way to their twelfth Grand Slam (just one behind England now) and breaking their own record for consecutive test wins, it is difficult not to be impressed and extremely excited by Wales’ chances at Rugby World Cup 2019™. However, there is the constant grey cloud hanging over every one of Wales’ Rugby World Cup tournaments where they are tied as the highest rated team to never have played in a Rugby World Cup. World Cup Winner View all odds View all odds. Brazil 7/1; France 7/1; Germany 9/1; England 10/1.
The crew over at Opta have been extremely busy ahead of the 2018 World Cup and their computer models have predicted pretty much everything that’s going to happen.
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Okay, well, they haven’t predicted that Harry Kane will slip and miss a decisive penalty kick for England in the semifinal or that Senegal will win the entire thing thanks to a horrendous own goal by Brazil’s Marcelo, but they’ve kept things simple and have worked out the percentage chance of each team winning the World Cup and the chance of each team making it out of the group stage.
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Below is the percent chances for all of that happening via their predictive model. Bookmark this and see how close they get.
13.2% – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Brazil the highest chance of winning the 2018 World Cup (13.2%), followed by Germany (10.7%) & Argentina (10.1%). Probability.
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zlpic.twitter.com/MOjnESld6Z
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
A – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Uruguay (59.1%) the best chance of progressing from Group A at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Tenacity.
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#URU#EGY#RUS#KSApic.twitter.com/iT8jx19Kow
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
B – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Spain (74%) the best chance of progressing from Group B at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Arriba!
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#ESP#POR#IRN#MARpic.twitter.com/OX1LTqot9b
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
C – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give France (75.9%) the best chance of progressing from Group C at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Bleus.
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#FRA#PER#AUS#DENpic.twitter.com/NbFMwFNAug
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
D – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Argentina (75.7%) the best chance of progressing from Group D at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Wisdom.
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#ARG#CRO#NGA#ISLpic.twitter.com/lh5MHw9Ksa
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
E – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Brazil (79.8%) the best chance of progressing from Group E at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Samba.
Spain World Cup Winning Team
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#BRA#SRB#SUI#CRCpic.twitter.com/Z91gUyinwY
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
F – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Germany (75.9%) the best chance of progressing from Group F at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Mannschaft.
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#GER#SWE#MEX#KORpic.twitter.com/35tWldUmmS
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
G – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Belgium (65.8%) the best chance of progressing from Group G at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Waffle.
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#BEL#ENG#TUN#PANpic.twitter.com/32hv7qiD2U
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018
H – Based on our World Cup predictor, Opta give Colombia (55.0%) the best chance of progressing from Group H at the 2018 @FIFAWorldCup. Tight.
World Cup Winnings
For more info on the how the Opta Predictor is calculated, click here: https://t.co/O5yVz0Y0Zl#COL#JPN#POL#SENpic.twitter.com/Le67seZH2z
World Cup Winning Chances
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) June 12, 2018